by Marc Davis - BNWnews
“Bigger is better” is a bit of boastful bravado that proud Texans are renowned for proclaiming, often with a genteel southern smile. After all, the ever-industrious citizens of this sprawling, oil-rich southern state like to do things on a grand scale.
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Posted by Wealth Wire
The debt-based monetary system creates an illusion of wealth. It allows for claims on real goods to significantly exceed the actual amount of real goods. You then have a number of people believing they have wealth, since they have claims (pieces of paper or tokens) showing that they have these real assets, whereas, in reality, if everyone was to claim the real goods, there would not be enough to go around.
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Interview With Ted Butler
Ted Butler is one of the better-known silver analysts (and longtime silver bulls) in the world. The founder of Butler Research, a monthly publication focused on precious metals, Butler has been pounding the table on silver since way back when it was trading for $4/ounce.
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By Marc Davis, BNWnews.ca
With potash prices spiking higher in response to surging global foods costs, the world’s most advanced “independent” potash project is in the cross-hairs of an increasing number of deep-pocketed suitors.
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Author: Brian Sylvester
Austerity programmes across Europe, continued debt problems in the US and further political uncertainty all point to a continued uptrend in gold prices, says Brien Lundin. A Gold Report Interview.
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By Michael Brush, MSN Money
Recent dips are giving us another chance to get in on the great gold rush. The factors driving the metal higher -- broken governments and fragile economies -- aren't going away.
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Author: Lawrence Williams
Speaking at GATA's sold-out Gold Rush conference in London, Eric Sprott affirmed his strong views on gold and his even more positive thoughts on silver.
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Edmund Conway
That's right: come Monday morning we will have managed to survive four decades of fiat money – though, given the chaos in markets in recent weeks, it is anyone's guess how much longer it will last.
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By Myra P. Saefong, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Silver has always been seen as less precious than gold, but it has certainly proved itself worthy of investors’ attention — and demand for it as a hedge against the world’s financial woes is likely to grow.
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Edmond J. Bugos
After launching the Shanghai Gold Exchange in October 2002, the exchange’s principals announced a three-part plan to liberalize trading: 1) establish a deferred delivery service (as physical transactions are settled pretty much the same day); 2) create gold-related investment products in order to promote domestic investment demand and create liquidity; 3) integrate the exchange into international markets – which includes expanding import/export licenses and allowing foreign entities to become members.
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Author: Amanda Cooper (Reuters)
Analysts believe that gold stocks could well take the upper hand after a long period of underperformance in relation to physical bullion as the flow of cheap money from the U.S. slows
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By The Economist
Striking gold is generally considered a slice of good luck. Owning it, however, is a sign that you fear the worst. Some people buy the yellow stuff because they think it looks pretty, to be sure. But the quintessential gold bug is an investor who expects every form of paper wealth to collapse, along with civilisation itself.
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By Marc Davis, www.BNWnews.ca
Though Nevada’s world-famous gold fields have historically yielded over 150 million gold ounces, they are still proving to be geologically fertile hunting grounds for exploration-minded junior mining companies. Two good examples are Auex Ventures and Fronteer Gold.
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By David Galland, Casey Research
While there are many reasons that gold and silver are going to keep moving higher as the fiat currencies trend lower, at our recent Casey Research Summit in Boca Raton, faculty member Mike Maloney pointed out a fact that, while obvious in hindsight, I had never heard mentioned previously.
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Author: Fayen Wong
SHANGHAI (REUTERS) -
London specialist consultancy GFMS reckons Chinese gold imports could exceed 400 tonnes in 2011 with silver, too, expected to exceed domestic supply.
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By William Mbaho, BNWnews.ca
Heightened global demand for vanadium especially from China, is prompting the global steel industry to aggressively seek out new supplies, especially in the U.S. where this 21st century metal is becoming increasingly indispensible. Even U.S. President Obama is championing this metal’s promise for green energy applications.
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Author: Geoff Candy
The yellow metals performance in the face of silver's washout last week was rather impressive and an addition to the factors why UBS expects gold to continue going higher this year.
Gold's performance last week, in the face of a drop of around 30% in the price of silver was rather impressive and, could be an indicator of things to come.
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By Marc Davis, www.BNWnews.ca
The quest to commercialize one of Latin America’s last undeveloped major gold deposits is one major step closer to a prospectively big pay day for its unlikely owner – a small gold explorer named Exeter Resource.
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By Debbie Carlson
Of Kitco News
After a sharp drop in prices this week, the outlook is hazy for precious metals price direction, but some analysts believe the metals could see the slide ending next week, at least for gold.
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Author: Lawrence Williams
Some observers think gold is in a bubble, but silver has been rising far faster. Can this momentum be maintained or is now the time to take at least some profits as the price closes on $50.
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Author: Jan Harvey (Reuters)
Silver rose to its strongest since 1980 and Gold hit five week highs on the back of growing unrest in the Middle East
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By Marc Davis, www.BNWnews.ca
Silver promises to become the next big buzzword among investors in 2011 and beyond, according to one of the investment industry’s most prescient and successful experts on precious metals.
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There are some bizarre things going on in the silver market at the moment, reminiscent of the supply shortages and high premiums witnessed in 2008. For starters, silver is currently in both short-term and long-term backwardation, suggesting there is higher demand for silver NOW than in the future.
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The Economist
Rising commodity prices both reflect and threaten the world’s economic recovery.
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Cheap, Industrial Silver is an illusion
From the beginning of the financial crisis in 2008, contrarian investors began murmuring about getting into gold and short term Treasuries. It was almost a mantra: gold and Treasuries… gold and Treasuries. Something missing?
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The Economist
Commodity prices are surging at a very early stage of the cycle
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By Frank Holmes
Wall Street has been calling gold a bubble since 2005 when it hit $500. Some media naysayers remained negative even as they wrote the headlines proclaiming record highs and saw gold rise almost 30 percent in the past 12 months.
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By Marc Davis, www.BNWnews.ca
The ‘Holy Grail’ of renewable energy – grid scale power storage – appears to be finally within reach. So is the ability to make electric cars far more practical or user-friendly.
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by Egon von Greyerz - Matterhorn AM
We now live in a world where governments print worthless pieces of paper to buy other worthless pieces of paper that combined with worthless derivatives, finance assets whose values are totally dependent on all these worthless debt instruments. Thus most of these assets are also worth-less.
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The One-handed Economist
The establishment argument against gold comes down to the statement that it is a collectable that earns no yield. Art, rare coins, stamps and gold and silver bullion do not earn a yield. Stocks, bonds and real estate earn yields, so the prudent investor should focus on these assets rather than gold or precious metals.
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With gold well into record territory, investor enthusiasm is boiling over.
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If we continue down the same economic path that we have been following for the last four decades - and there is no indication that we won't even if we wanted to, or could, at this point - it is mathematically inevitable that gold and silver will approach infinity in U.S. dollar terms at some point in the future. Yes, approach infinity!
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Nine Bullish Arguments for Gold
By Frank Holmes
Dr. Martin Murenbeeld, chief economist for Dundee Wealth Economics and one of the smartest gold minds around, recently released his latest chart book – hundreds of useful visuals to help him tell the gold and commodity stories.
Dr. Murenbeeld also outlines his nine bullish arguments for gold.
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Global fiscal and monetary reflation – The world’s major economies have taken on extensive amounts of debt to keep their economies afloat. The struggles of Greece and other nations in Western Europe haven’t gone away. The U.S. has spent hundreds of billions of dollars in stimulus money and is still losing jobs.
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Global imbalances – The dollar has benefited from the troubles in other countries in its role as a relative safe haven. “Relative” is the key word – roughly $10 trillion is expected to be added to the U.S. federal debt burden through 2019 and the U.S. trade imbalances are huge. These trends stand to weigh on the dollar and support gold’s safe haven status over the longer term.
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Global foreign exchange reserves are “excessive” – Global foreign exchange reserves have expanded exponentially in just the past few years, reaching $8.17 trillion in April 2010. Meanwhile, the gold reserve ratio has dropped significantly since 1980.
- Central bank attitudes to gold – Under the current central bank selling agreement, only the International Monetary Fund has been a seller of gold. Latin American countries, who were net sellers of gold up until 2002, are now buying gold again. India purchased 200 metric tons from the IMF in the fourth quarter of 2009, setting a floor under gold just above $1,000. China has increased its gold reserves from 395 metric tons in 2001 to 1,054 metric tons as of the end of the first quarter - a 166 percent increase in less than a decade.
Gold is not in a bubble – Gold’s run has been slow and steady. As I mentioned last week, we’re not seeing large price spikes that are typical with bubbles. The chart below illustrates just how different gold’s current bull run has been from previous ones. A key difference today is that we’re seeing greater affluence in the developing world, where people have traditionally turned to gold to store their wealth.
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Mine supply is flat – World mine production is about 2,500 metric tons - roughly 25 percent higher than it was in 1990 - but net mine supply is less than it was 20 years ago. Dehedging, increased scrap supply, lower grade discoveries and higher replacement costs will continue to constrain supply. We’re already seeing this affect the marketplace. During the second quarter of 2010, gold demand rose 36 percent year over year, while supply was up just 17 percent.
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Investment demand - Investment demand in the second quarter of 2010 more than doubled compared to the same period in 2009, and accounted for more than half of total global demand. Investors bought the most gold since the first quarter of 2009, at the depths of the Great Recession.
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Commodity price cycle – Commodity price cycles tend to last multiple decades. Going back to 1800, the shortest gold cycle is 10 years and shortest copper cycle is 14 years. The current bull cycle began in 2001.
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Geopolitical environment – Historically, gold has performed well in times of political and financial turmoil. Gold hit an all-time high (inflation adjusted) in 1980 amid the Iran hostage crisis and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Today’s geopolitical climate is also volatile given the ongoing wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the pursuit of nuclear arms by Iran and North Korea.
With these nine factors, Dr. Murenbeeld makes a strong bullish case for gold and others seem to agree. A Bloomberg survey of 29 analysts last week reported that they see gold prices averaging $1,500 in 2011 - a 20 percent jump from current levels.
By Frank Holmes
CEO and Chief Investment Officer
U.S. Global Investors
Posted Sep 13, 2010
Frank Holmes
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